Kit Homes Can Help Solve the U.S. Housing Crisis
Where Have All the Small Homes Gone
The shortage of available housing in the U.S. increased 52%, from 2.5 million to 3.8 million homes between 2018 and 2020. Few areas are immune from the shortage. And for areas with robust economies, the problem is more pronounced. Under these trying circumstances, prefabricated house kits offer an opportunity to relieve some of the pressures of the housing crisis by helping landowners create more density, as long as local governments continue to become more willing to discard outdated zoning laws that have long inhibited the growth of this housing trend.Why are Entry-Level Homes in Short Supply?
It’s easy to point to low interest rates as the cause of low inventory and rising prices. That lack of inventory has helped push prices higher. In fact, the problem began about 50 years ago. The late 1970s saw the peak of housing starts for small homes, hitting about 480,000 units per year; today, that number hovers around 60,000. A range of factors have added to the short supply of homes in the US:Booming Demand
There are a number of reasons the demand for small homes has reached particularly high levels recently. Buyers wanted bigger Home builders followed the demand and profits from step-up buyers wanting larger homes. In the early 1970s the average home size was about 1,650 square feet. Today homes average about 2,600 square feet. Not in my backyard Developers who want to build smaller homes have faced stiff opposition from nearby residents who fear new entry-level homes may lower their own home values. Additionally, zoning and land-use regulations favor spacious lots for larger homes. Technology takes a toll Existing entry-level homes never reach the market because current owners rent them through Airbnb and VRBO rather than sell them. Previously, the risks and laborious process of renting out a home often discouraged the average owner from considering the option. Deep-pockets buying Institutional investors have begun snapping up an increasing percentage of small homes for rental income. Since 2008, private equity investors have grabbed about 25% of the available stock of small single-family homes and then offered as rentals. Relatively low mortgage rates While interest rates ticked up since the beginning of 2022, they remain historically low. While rates may have caused some buyers to move to the sidelines, that’s not enough to reduce the shortage of entry-level homes. Remodeling and renovating Homeowners chose to upgrade and renovate their homes during Covid-19 lockdowns, deciding it was time to put up fences, add decks, build out offices, and refinish basements.How Prefab House Kits Help Solve the Housing Crisis
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the average time to build a home ranges from six months to a year. Even in the 1970s, when many more houses were built, construction times ranged from four-to-seven months. Prefab house kits rely on strong, insulated wall and ceiling panels built in factories and ship to the building site. Today, builders and individuals see structural insulated panels (SIPS) as a way to get more entry-level homes built. Here’s why that’s possible.- Faster building
- The second most important benefit is the price point.
- Customizable plans
- Prefab structural insulated panels use 40-60% less lumber than stick-built homes.
- Less skilled labor required
- Zoning laws are changing (slowly)
The SIPS Solution
Mighty Small Homes offers a solution that drastically increases the number of affordable houses being built all across the state. As SIPs construction gains momentum, the low housing inventory is finding its lost traction.- Increased livable space
- Up to 60% lower energy costs
- Quieter
- Labor costs for construction
- Faster building time
- Structural superiority
- Less construction waste
What’s at Stake
Renters at the lower end of the market have seen their rents rise in some places even as they’re more likely to suffer the economic harms of the last year. These would-be homeowners are furious as they lose bidding war after bidding war, looking for someone to blame as they watch their peers land a home and lock in a low mortgage rate. Housing demand is not expected to decrease soon, especially given the demographics.
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Given the large group of young adults entering the housing market, the demand for entry-level single-family homes should remain high for the rest of the decade.
The combination of low supply and high demand is causing entry-level prices to rapidly escalate well above overall prices, triggering affordability issues for buyers to come up with even larger down payments.
Homeowners are riding high, for now, exhaling sighs of relief that they made it into the exclusive club and eagerly watching their wealth skyrocket, worried about what might happen to change that.